Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eae3ac697455267a466d3528f906bd589e3150e85308cc03c2ee07646efc1e7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 2, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $136,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $64,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,384 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc304…97b4backed Yes	2c	16,592$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.36	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	10c	5,047$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.21	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	5,000$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	10c	4,887$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.84	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	9c	3,280$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.33	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	6c	3,208$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.03	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd956…485fbacked Yes	17c	3,000$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+208.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	2,961$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.11	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	16c	2,491$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.63	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	8c	2,232$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.4	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	15c	2,206$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.9	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	7c	2,000$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.11	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	16c	1,720$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.17	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	11c	1,558$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.61	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	11c	1,500$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Yes	8c	1,399$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.79	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	15c	1,314$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.42	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34aa…980abacked Yes	17c	1,207$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.2	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	4c	1,150$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d8…085ebacked Yes	13c	1,048$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.02	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a46…5b84backed Yes	15c	1,000$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.8	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	113	19.5%22 W · 91 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes	14c	1,000$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.6	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	9c	1,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	16c	999.97$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes	12c	930.98$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	4c	899.93$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	8c	847.04$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.62	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	12c	800$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	8c	760.55$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.23	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	758.95$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.52	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587f…7765backed Yes	12c	633.78$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.32	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb205…7cd7backed Yes	2c	612.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b4c…3742backed Yes	13c	608.74$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	16c	570$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.2	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	15c	562.75$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3235…6e6cbacked Yes	8c	560.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.82	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes	14c	548.99$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.86	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…c17fbacked Yes	15c	548.67$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	13c	512.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.97	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	14c	510.86$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.05	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	71	11.3%8 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ba…2526backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-6.7wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2f6…6abdbacked Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e9…d5aebacked Yes	13c	474.29$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	15c	444$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	15c	431.53$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.73	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d09…0baabacked Yes	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	11c	369.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.65	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	11c	369.2$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.54	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7883…1e8cbacked Yes	15c	333.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	12c	327.66$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ce…fa8cbacked Yes	14c	288.7$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	13c	280.57$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.16	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd9…d46ebacked Yes	14c	250.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d68…3041backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+280%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	12c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…0821backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Yes	14c	199.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	262	24%63 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a17…0389backed Yes	15c	131.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d9…31c2backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	16c	120$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes	16c	119.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…713ebacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3382…67cbbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140b…24b3backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3836…8660backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ec…fcf9backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae50…0119backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972e…5a4cbacked Yes	15c	99.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes	12c	94.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbb…a1d0backed Yes	13c	84.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	172	16.9%29 W · 143 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes	15c	79.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	14c	73.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x796e…bc25backed Yes	17c	64.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c4…133ebacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event