Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d072d5c80efad0ed4a29a14426ff2f1913e664c1135359a32018b7794f44b79

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 2, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $289,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $164,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,910 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	1c	21,712$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.73	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	20,653$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.53	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	5c	20,476$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.45	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	15c	10,150$1,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.5	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	1c	8,489$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.45	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	1c	7,402$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.11	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	6,070$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	8c	6,000$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.99	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	9c	5,516$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.77	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	19c	5,001$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.87	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	2c	4,501$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.54	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	13c	3,512$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.96	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	22c	3,157$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.59	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	79c	3,096$2,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.5	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	75c	2,977$2,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.47	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	19c	2,963$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.41	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked No	67c	2,749$1,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	2,602$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.37	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	4c	2,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	4c	2,192$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.26	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	22c	2,000$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	34c	2,000$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	12c	2,000$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	25c	1,929$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.08	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0055…1c98backed Yes	29c	1,824$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x892c…abe3backed Yes	36c	1,790$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	8c	1,756$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	2c	1,731$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	24c	1,695$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.51	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4aa…9026backed Yes	2c	1,658$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	8c	1,654$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.85	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	1,618$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.95	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed No	64c	1,557$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.95	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	16c	1,490$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.47	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc304…97b4backed Yes	1c	1,484$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	21c	1,472$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	9c	1,400$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.9	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	4c	1,300$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.02	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,181$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	8c	1,169$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.55	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	2c	1,100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	79c	1,072$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.02	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	33c	1,035$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.3	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	26c	1,016$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.11	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes	15c	1,000$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.2	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	20c	997.68$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	9c	973.17$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe98…be78backed Yes	27c	856.55$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.09	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-68%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	12c	850$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	25c	828.76$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.2	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	33c	786.68$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.6	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	27c	777$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.9	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e9…d5aebacked Yes	15c	750$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	6c	730.95$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	21c	714.75$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.56	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	22c	691.84$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.44	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf31a…838bbacked Yes	3c	686.49$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbc…a24cbacked Yes	25c	677.88$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.02	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes	15c	667.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	26c	661.33$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.18	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	65c	599.98$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.99	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	15c	575.28$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Yes	34c	536.05$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.46	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	18c	501.59$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f30…6b5cbacked Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3336…f823backed Yes	18c	500$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.41	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2205…b2e5backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	23c	495.53$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.84	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f6…6abdbacked Yes	17c	485$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.45	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd956…485fbacked Yes	18c	485$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+208.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…a7bfbacked Yes	14c	463.59$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.15	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	23c	437.19$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.23	163	19%31 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	20c	430.55$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.11	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	14c	421.43$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa88f…7e59backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	25c	361.28$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.32	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ba…2526backed Yes	18c	350$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-6.7wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3235…6e6cbacked Yes	18c	309.31$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.75	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	14c	301.24$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.13	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	78c	300.87$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.94	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	28c	300$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes	23c	280.55$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	68	27.9%19 W · 49 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012f…e310backed Yes	18c	278.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ab…47aebacked Yes	36c	276.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbb…a1d0backed Yes	17c	272.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a17…0389backed Yes	28c	252.04$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes	34c	242.93$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d09…0baabacked Yes	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	14c	230.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.07	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	9c	230.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af8…21b0backed Yes	14c	230.5$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.27	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00a…bc2dbacked Yes	17c	230.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Yes	18c	229.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.87	262	24%63 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd9…d46ebacked Yes	15c	228.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1483…e269backed Yes	21c	227.68$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.55	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event