Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fb2e2adf45b65d4afda76610b5765514219529ae300036d13aa6577be680508

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 2, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $352,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $247,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	11c	24,016$2,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,586.41	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	24c	17,087$4,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,139.47	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	1c	14,778$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.16	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	15c	14,340$2,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,202.7	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	20c	13,497$2,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,758.25	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	14c	12,816$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780.17	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	19c	7,964$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	19c	6,942$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.88	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	16c	6,201$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.48	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	17c	4,729$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.25	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	18c	4,613$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.09	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	10c	4,516$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.19	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	15c	4,327$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.68	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	19c	4,200$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.63	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x892c…abe3backed Yes	19c	3,449$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	10c	3,018$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.78	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd956…485fbacked Yes	14c	3,000$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+208.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	13c	2,821$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes	2c	2,521$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.43	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	78c	2,400$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	2,378$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.38	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	23c	2,312$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.99	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	12c	2,270$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.52	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	14c	2,202$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.72	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1306…7e5fbacked Yes	7c	1,985$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.2	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	13c	1,818$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.22	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	13c	1,646$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.67	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	25c	1,639$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.91	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	26c	1,586$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	25c	1,511$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.4	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	18c	1,500$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.96	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc304…97b4backed Yes	24c	1,500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	24c	1,414$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	6c	1,399$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.99	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	31c	1,376$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.06	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…f762backed Yes	44c	1,349$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbb…b5f9backed Yes	16c	1,319$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.93	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes	37c	1,318$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes	19c	1,302$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	11c	1,291$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.01	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	24c	1,290$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	2c	1,274$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	14c	1,250$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc900…4faebacked Yes	30c	1,175$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x587f…7765backed Yes	19c	1,113$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.48	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	9c	1,107$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.07	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	26c	1,089$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.81	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	11c	1,071$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.21	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	17c	1,069$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.5	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.91	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a92…a832backed Yes	26c	993.5$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.9	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a46…5b84backed Yes	33c	949.33$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.69	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	11c	919.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.2	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	21c	898$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe98…be78backed Yes	21c	870$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.7	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-68%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5545…8371backed Yes	17c	832.14$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	14c	827.82$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.53	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	26c	810.07$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.55	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Yes	31c	799.66$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0321…7149backed Yes	16c	779$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.07	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3543…579fbacked Yes	21c	707.36$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	7c	703.84$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	25c	700.06$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.34	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	17c	700$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	15c	699.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	71	11.3%8 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…a7bfbacked Yes	29c	643.37$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.14	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	19c	643.03$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.8	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	27c	627.59$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.28	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcade…ffe0backed No	75c	612.1$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	5c	608.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62e8…1c53backed Yes	49c	606.86$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	19c	603.75$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.62	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	26c	591.96$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.84	170	12.9%22 W · 148 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	13c	591.58$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.92	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd20e…7d58backed Yes	15c	577.1$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.57	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3382…67cbbacked Yes	19c	574.36$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.52	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes	12c	562.82$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No	79c	559.12$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.09	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	77cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	35c	555$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.25	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No	77c	551.14$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.59	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	16c	540.52$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	27c	534.74$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.77	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3789…c044backed Yes	27c	525.46$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3336…f823backed Yes	16c	500$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.93	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…c824backed Yes	26c	499.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	60	10%6 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	21c	499.95$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.77	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Yes	21c	465.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	15c	448.4$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.67	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes	19c	441.21$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	27c	434.57$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.81	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…c17fbacked Yes	16c	429.82$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	77c	417.44$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.47	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecc3…2e02backed Yes	19c	413.65$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes	4c	410$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.20per pick	39cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	13c	406.65$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.73	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	17c	400$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event