TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gaming

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad92…88e2backed Bilibili Gaming10c35,134$3,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Bilibili Gaming46c29,084$13,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,273.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed T150c16,700$8,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,35023447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Bilibili Gaming41c11,879$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,914.1520557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Bilibili Gaming50c11,659$5,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,825.441717.6%3 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-67.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed T150c11,249$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.3136433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x530c…fb1bbacked T179c7,264$5,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.291241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Bilibili Gaming43c4,597$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.3811744.4%52 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5209…b232backed Bilibili Gaming4c4,380$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98c2…66a8backed T163c3,315$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed T174c3,264$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.367230.6%22 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd503…ef93backed T150c2,780$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…b2cfbacked Bilibili Gaming43c2,763$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked T150c2,688$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34416439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Bilibili Gaming31c2,670$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.6528746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Bilibili Gaming13c2,392$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Bilibili Gaming31c2,345$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.9411434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed T178c2,024$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.176245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed T152c1,673$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.9317561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Bilibili Gaming50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed T173c1,450$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.74339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6dd…c9efbacked T171c1,211$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.411250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked T151c1,179$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.641,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e98…ae0fbacked T165c1,100$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38912152.1%63 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b10…450fbacked Bilibili Gaming28c1,043$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked T154c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Bilibili Gaming37c909.11$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed T151c824$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.761866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed T151c821.1$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.342638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed Bilibili Gaming51c778.73$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.733548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Bilibili Gaming11c738.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d1…6591backed Bilibili Gaming31c718.58$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming50c704.67$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.213,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T166c673.92$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb754…b7f8backed Bilibili Gaming31c661.16$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed T166c659.85$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5512361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f7…6c70backed Bilibili Gaming37c620$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked T150c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30051852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…a7abbacked Bilibili Gaming50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked T150c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012360.2%74 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Bilibili Gaming26c600$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.316828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bilibili Gaming50c596.56$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2838837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d44…c828backed T157c582.02$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.882450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed T150c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed T151c412$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.881,13663.1%717 W · 419 L+51.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked T173c396.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1913164.9%85 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9df…d8bcbacked T151c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed T152c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed T151c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.225752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed T150c374$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1875044%22 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaae…ee3cbacked Bilibili Gaming15c335.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc8…e126backed T169c318.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked T148c316.63$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.651540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd303…9c76backed T150c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9590…be30backed Bilibili Gaming24c298.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked T171c291$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911662.9%73 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Bilibili Gaming48c288.46$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4627632.6%90 W · 186 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Bilibili Gaming12c220$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267516%12 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed T150c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed Bilibili Gaming49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982119%4 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Bilibili Gaming27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Bilibili Gaming50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac31…9ac0backed T151c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked T151c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0816236.4%59 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked T151c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9647…c18abacked T152c192.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b7…5718backed Bilibili Gaming50c190.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Bilibili Gaming50c186$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9805…610abacked T173c177.55$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.351586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4d4…da34backed Bilibili Gaming34c176.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee5…9a51backed T151c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.35100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bilibili Gaming50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020563.9%131 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07be…8bf9backed T151c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.46955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…8389backed Bilibili Gaming13c149.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb62a…dffcbacked T166c148.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.21947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed T169c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9313960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Bilibili Gaming27c143.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1717466.7%116 W · 58 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa0…84e4backed Bilibili Gaming50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb78…3acfbacked T152c135.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked T174c132.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6121759%128 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…93aabacked T150c131.03$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cf…7d67backed Bilibili Gaming16c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Bilibili Gaming28c129.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.237052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed T151c123$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.275547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5a18backed Bilibili Gaming49c123$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.271861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+98%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked T151c120.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.013026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd971…4471backed T157c115.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.491478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaec2…cb66backed T146c112$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.482850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Bilibili Gaming50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512640.5%51 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bb…a95bbacked Bilibili Gaming30c106.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed T151c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe870…6bf8backed Bilibili Gaming52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f4…7343backed T145c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5511865.3%77 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Bilibili Gaming48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…7829backed Bilibili Gaming50c99.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.957561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d3…9a72backed T151c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7be2…c5efbacked T151c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0068…3ea6backed T151c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a10…023fbacked T152c96.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x656a…f720backed T152c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.