Lol · resolved market
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's Legend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x788474aa9429a924f7f0cafdb1b67f8f03632829d580731e90af7e737b3e532e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legendof CTBC, Legend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked CTBC | 23c | 154,328$36,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,228.11 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…66a8backed Legend | 78c | 50,711$39,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,155.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Legend | 76c | 43,766$33,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,503.78 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked CTBC | 21c | 28,637$5,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,955.12 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed CTBC | 15c | 15,265$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.9 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed CTBC | 17c | 15,016$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.35 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked CTBC | 23c | 6,871$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.85 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed CTBC | 15c | 6,615$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.57 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a5…6b7dbacked Legend | 76c | 6,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…c9efbacked CTBC | 14c | 5,652$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked CTBC | 15c | 3,077$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.14 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…9f86backed CTBC | 22c | 2,741$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.68 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Legend | 77c | 2,670$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.09 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed CTBC | 7c | 2,644$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Legend | 77c | 2,607$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.75 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…c594backed CTBC | 25c | 2,248$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…41d5backed CTBC | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Legend | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked CTBC | 11c | 1,941$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed CTBC | 4c | 1,867$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Legend | 76c | 1,705$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.77 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Legend | 78c | 1,687$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked CTBC | 10c | 1,670$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed CTBC | 20c | 1,370$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed Legend | 79c | 1,334$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.12 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed CTBC | 23c | 1,305$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…1979backed CTBC | 23c | 1,300$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed CTBC | 6c | 1,299$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed CTBC | 17c | 1,167$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked CTBC | 15c | 1,035$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Legend | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked CTBC | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Legend | 77c | 888$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed CTBC | 16c | 810$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Legend | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed CTBC | 8c | 769.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed CTBC | 7c | 749.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…b2cfbacked CTBC | 23c | 739.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed Legend | 79c | 735.6$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Legend | 78c | 686$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9a72backed Legend | 79c | 628.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…5f52backed CTBC | 22c | 620$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CTBC | 7c | 615.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed CTBC | 20c | 588.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Legend | 80c | 538$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Legend | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed CTBC | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed CTBC | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c08bbacked CTBC | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Legend | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed Legend | 78c | 485.35$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Legend | 77c | 461.3$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed CTBC | 24c | 450$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed CTBC | 11c | 413.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…9a99backed CTBC | 20c | 400.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…84e4backed CTBC | 33c | 396.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…e53cbacked CTBC | 23c | 391.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Legend | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed CTBC | 22c | 380.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2722backed CTBC | 23c | 373.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Legend | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Legend | 78c | 317.21$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Legend | 67c | 316.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed CTBC | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Legend | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CTBC | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Legend | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed Legend | 75c | 295.16$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Legend | 78c | 281.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked CTBC | 15c | 269.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Legend | 79c | 257.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Legend | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Legend | 78c | 255.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Legend | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6591backed Legend | 78c | 240.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…d40cbacked CTBC | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…610abacked Legend | 79c | 218$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…41cabacked CTBC | 23c | 217.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked CTBC | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed CTBC | 25c | 204.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed CTBC | 24c | 200.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Legend | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked CTBC | 22c | 191.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Legend | 76c | 179.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked CTBC | 13c | 168$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed CTBC | 24c | 166.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Legend | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed CTBC | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Legend | 79c | 145.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed CTBC | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Legend | 76c | 133.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Legend | 76c | 133$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…7621backed Legend | 78c | 131.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed CTBC | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Legend | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked CTBC | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed CTBC | 24c | 122.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246e…c622backed CTBC | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…2491backed Legend | 76c | 111.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Legend | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.