CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a1cc0187cd8c5c3224b93e937db396ba3106963e0d24e0267ca8e02ec0117c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Astralis, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked B8 | 58c | 8,763$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.31 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked B8 | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed B8 | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…f31fbacked Astralis | 35c | 4,369$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…037abacked Astralis | 59c | 2,963$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.24 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 61c | 2,553$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.17 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed B8 | 43c | 2,428$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.36 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Astralis | 57c | 2,298$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.86 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Astralis | 58c | 1,943$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.48 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed B8 | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Astralis | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked B8 | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked B8 | 43c | 999.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked B8 | 45c | 768.17$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.31 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 39c | 767.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.47 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Astralis | 57c | 723.95$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed B8 | 66c | 713.01$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed B8 | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed B8 | 52c | 672.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.35 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Astralis | 55c | 623.08$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astralis | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astralis | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Astralis | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Astralis | 57c | 470.18$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Astralis | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astralis | 37c | 359.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed B8 | 63c | 359.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astralis | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Astralis | 61c | 260.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 38c | 259.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed B8 | 33c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed B8 | 42c | 199.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 | 40c | 189.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked B8 | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Astralis | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astralis | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked B8 | 38c | 160$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked B8 | 38c | 152.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…5c29backed Astralis | 58c | 140.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Astralis | 60c | 133.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Astralis | 59c | 132.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Astralis | 42c | 120.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed B8 | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed B8 | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a4…5fb8backed Astralis | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed B8 | 26c | 88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…67c8backed Astralis | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Astralis | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked B8 | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Astralis | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Astralis | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Astralis | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Astralis | 71c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astralis | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Astralis | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…93f0backed Astralis | 74c | 32.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed B8 | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…d990backed Astralis | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Astralis | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed B8 | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Astralis | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.