Fifa International · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaa20aae62c938766682c0278022febd714c22192ad311a609285f68357c7446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 13,475$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.31 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…f90bbacked Yes | 54c | 9,060$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…be06backed No | 46c | 9,060$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 7,255$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.48 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 5,624$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 12c | 4,595$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.47 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 4,268$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.89 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,381$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.57 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 18c | 1,982$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.85 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 16c | 1,731$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,453$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.17 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 17c | 1,382$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 15c | 1,250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 1,026$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 20c | 905$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 14c | 750$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a50…ed9abacked Yes | 16c | 706.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 17c | 677.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 18c | 650$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 10c | 632.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 16c | 587.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 11c | 563.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f2…b80abacked Yes | 18c | 557.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Yes | 20c | 501.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 15c | 453.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 8c | 425.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 16c | 422.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 19c | 350$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 339.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 296.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…7da2backed Yes | 17c | 295.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…3c8ebacked Yes | 15c | 293.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…de66backed Yes | 17c | 289.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Yes | 18c | 255.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes | 16c | 254.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 16c | 249.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2960…3a0cbacked Yes | 18c | 239.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 19c | 229.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Yes | 19c | 228.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…7277backed Yes | 16c | 215.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 14c | 215.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 17c | 199.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…989abacked Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…399ebacked Yes | 16c | 154.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Yes | 16c | 153.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 19c | 139.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 9c | 136.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Yes | 17c | 114.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…5199backed Yes | 15c | 92.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 83.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…31e5backed Yes | 16c | 70.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Yes | 18c | 69.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…de90backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 67c | 25.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.