TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No48c15,631$7,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,506.591,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c13,687$6,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,702.94,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c5,950$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.722,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c2,796$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No15c2,500$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c2,374$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.6893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes80c2,060$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.8728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5201,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c1,692$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.731,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes52c782.17$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.1740145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes29c750$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No60c657.02$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.8834330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes60c597.57$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3436634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes28c562.59$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No10c542.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4145039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c513.5$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes27c502.65$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9912729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed No76c472.19$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.867659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes24c442.13$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.023,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed No41c396.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2713247.7%63 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No28c343.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3545947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes25c342$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.516937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes24c340.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c323.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes79c305$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c288.65$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4610945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c233.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c228.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed Yes66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Yes60c198.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8810350.5%52 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.55545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c186$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.91,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes76c179.94$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5612036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No65c179.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9419939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No30c171.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9730117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No38c170.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1537644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…946fbacked Yes25c159.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.792352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Yes73c143.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7211065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes28c142.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7836543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10525031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b68…0f75backed Yes31c139.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd654…0a18backed No76c131.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.921060%6 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes77c130.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.052835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes25c120.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0431543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.144843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes55c105.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.458844.3%39 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes34c101.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.914639.7%58 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x040c…1b97backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7619120.9%40 W · 151 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes25c92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696518.5%12 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No73c83.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.248438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No76c76.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x936e…4d49backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes65c73.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7818943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2605…6b1bbacked No76c72.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554367.4%29 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No53c65.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6171939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No75c63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4533345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed No29c59.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.342524%6 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes38c57.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.895255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No76c57.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6384751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.635453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes24c52.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.541,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c50.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No76c49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3830…f7fcbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes38c47.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3713544.4%60 W · 75 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes25c47.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5217148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes75c47.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7742952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes25c47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2563035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c44.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4819225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes24c40.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.973423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Yes37c40.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9618243.4%79 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9eb…1424backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+71.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd3f…829abacked No40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Yes55c38.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.126749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No75c37.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.614836.5%54 W · 94 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes65c37.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.992,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Yes30c36.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.676556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb6…c187backed Yes71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.154479.5%35 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes43c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4811860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x631e…5a8dbacked Yes72c33.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.531070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No70c32.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x264f…1b98backed No75c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413732.1%44 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No40c27.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes49c26.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6347546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes38c26.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No64c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6424257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.519856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes76c24.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9417513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.