Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x865fb4ebb45aae43dcca6938c279682992191cfaeb08f93a81c50db31a10c6d8

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,405 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc666…3706backed Yes	57c	506.22$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.2	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	64c	500$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	51c	400$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	18c	253.38$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes	49c	227.46$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.26	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	69c	200$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.1	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes	26c	192.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No	62c	161.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.12	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes	35c	103.05$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	50c	28.14$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed No	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No	75c	21.28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event