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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tino Livramento be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No35c571.27$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3113044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No46c514.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.313437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes64c350$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.155561.8%34 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No49c304$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39a6…ebddbacked Yes60c239.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf577…160ebacked Yes62c153.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.311414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeae0…5ea9backed Yes59c148.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.996142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No52c52.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7142336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No38c39.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28542.4%36 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0121837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.