World Politics · resolved market
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57b92c646380f59ec390581eed7fedd7e58c164c83299216eca7ecb1ad1f3f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 77c | 9,324$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 72c | 6,633$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.39 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 65c | 4,444$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 20c | 3,482$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.44 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…9408backed No | 3c | 2,931$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…27aabacked No | 8c | 2,800$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 1c | 2,287$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed Yes | 13c | 2,106$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +197%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 38c | 1,947$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.9 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 1c | 1,890$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…963bbacked No | 6c | 1,711$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 25c | 1,508$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.37 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 31c | 1,200$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.22 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…b9e7backed No | 16c | 1,167$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 22c | 1,148$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…6305backed No | 24c | 1,133$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 11c | 1,070$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.97 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed No | 16c | 1,050$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 26c | 814.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 38c | 699.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 698.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.54 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…8a17backed Yes | 27c | 602$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…bbcebacked No | 16c | 568.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b5c3backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 52c | 440$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…0690backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 20c | 366$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 350.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed Yes | 22c | 339.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 28c | 335$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 32c | 307.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…ab04backed Yes | 26c | 300$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 283.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 52c | 265.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 26c | 256.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 20c | 239$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…195bbacked Yes | 31c | 219.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 197.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…b063backed Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +368.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…07d3backed Yes | 26c | 169.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3476…8b53backed Yes | 26c | 169.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…bfc3backed Yes | 26c | 158.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 21c | 153.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 12c | 152$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 64c | 136.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 17c | 136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 26c | 131.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…31a1backed Yes | 31c | 117.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 114.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 54c | 107.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 106.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…7eb3backed Yes | 31c | 91.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 35c | 89.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 70c | 87.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 21c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 14c | 77.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 62c | 64.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…b245backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…fc2fbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7feabacked Yes | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 22c | 57.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…1f78backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…a252backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4460…54d1backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e9…441abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 80c | 48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…c627backed Yes | 52c | 41.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…b4aabacked Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…4306backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…20fbbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…3699backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Anneliese Midgley be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Liz Kendall be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Stephanie Peacock be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.