World Politics · resolved market
Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad55c92ab69c54446288615ad8e52c97ed9208f2366b96abddc3ef3af686f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5979…bbcebacked Yes | 1c | 3,702$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 35c | 2,395$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…27aabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 12c | 1,294$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 7c | 1,223$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 80c | 946.67$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 886.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 5c | 712.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 636$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 3c | 598.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 5c | 513.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 13c | 416$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 56c | 311.15$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 306.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 10c | 274.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 11c | 259.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 247$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 235.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 40c | 188.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 10c | 124.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 12c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 13c | 108.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…e86ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 69c | 98.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 19c | 97.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b61…bf25backed No | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 19c | 54.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 26c | 39.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…4258backed No | 69c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…eedebacked No | 58c | 23.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…69d3backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Anneliese Midgley be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Liz Kendall be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Stephanie Peacock be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.