World Politics · resolved market
Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb744cfebd99a2c2cb8658abd26bc65ba85f4db4c0c67ce8c2139e61060e03cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 77c | 1,165$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 19c | 860.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 69c | 255.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 11c | 220.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 219$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 76c | 131.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…ab98backed Yes | 28c | 94.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 18c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 13c | 79.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…20fbbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…1a00backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…38f8backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 32c | 59.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 28c | 48.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 75c | 40.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Anneliese Midgley be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Liz Kendall be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Stephanie Peacock be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.