Movies · resolved market
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcede63770b3337cb0440e01a9530f6e4d5f38196288b105aa9e71a748a755418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 4c | 2,613$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 35c | 946.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.89 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 6c | 687.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…3dd2backed Yes | 43c | 661.39$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.13 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 46c | 570.4$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 10c | 507.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 499.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed Yes | 59c | 466$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 42c | 405.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 5c | 222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 136.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 117.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f3…f031backed Yes | 30c | 115.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +357.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 57c | 107.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 61c | 103$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 74c | 97.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 24c | 68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…7a34backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 39c | 39.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…5cb0backed Yes | 63c | 38.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 29.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…d2d9backed No | 66c | 25.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 62c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…67aabacked Yes | 68c | 24.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…3097backed Yes | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…2444backed Yes | 67c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…c253backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 77c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed No | 77c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…e865backed No | 77c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.