Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796d0b933764a3bc48b0009b04375a6c9c1224a834fa760e6f521695f86e4310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 5,641$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.41 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 3,193$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.88 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 10c | 1,903$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 1,337 | 56.5%756 W · 581 L | +64.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 39c | 1,502$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Over | 19c | 1,200$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 49c | 1,074$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.21 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 28c | 703.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 289 | 32.9%95 W · 194 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 584.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 521.09$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 377.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 41c | 299.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 246.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 219.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 29c | 137.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…a862backed Over | 13c | 116.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 21c | 108.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 48c | 95.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…cf5ebacked Under | 61c | 78.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 74.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…fe56backed Over | 80c | 61.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…492ebacked Over | 80c | 51.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 49.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 73c | 46.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 73c | 44.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…595fbacked Over | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…2223backed Over | 79c | 37.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 33c | 31.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Under | 72c | 22.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099b…428abacked Under | 77c | 22.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 63c | 21.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 78c | 21.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 79c | 20.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Over | 80c | 14.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.