Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 2,635$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.78 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 14c | 2,051$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 1,053$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.6 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 431.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 400.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 365.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 41c | 299.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 45c | 288.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 59c | 253.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 59c | 195.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 191$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 38c | 129.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 40c | 124.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 105.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 39c | 74.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 58c | 51.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 29.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 60c | 27.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 59c | 20.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 77c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.