Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd79dfebaca45de486c711df7ef97657def0ff910ce0302f037b71716deb6f845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 929.68$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.63 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 655.61$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 317.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 36c | 299.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 42c | 241.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 43c | 232.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 55c | 200.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked No | 47c | 190.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…f8f0backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 160.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 46c | 71.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…49b6backed No | 79c | 56.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 48.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 58c | 47.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed No | 47c | 36.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 34.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 26.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 58c | 23.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.