Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069e2b9a3e65104909d365470d3ce07fd6b91dea5136ddd36b172f02fa91e280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Tieren FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Liaoning Tieren FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 69c | 736.73$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 286.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 265.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 19c | 156.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 17c | 143.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 76.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 59.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 46.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75a…b549backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 30.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 20.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 61c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.