Asian League · resolved market
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9078006335b8112cc808000f36914ea253766231fb6cfdffd611c794d2a2f8dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 70c | 1,502$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 74c | 1,347$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 1,341$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.94 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 1,306$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.6 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 37c | 900$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 786.27$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 722.03$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 674.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.43 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 22c | 576.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 344.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 61c | 156$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 29c | 144$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 69c | 132$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 95.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 34.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.