Asian League · resolved market
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb18f5c891a85d390eac7e922fdd3a0b36810fe364f60877ad6c5151b6aadbb68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 3,583$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.93 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 43c | 2,292$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.55 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 74c | 2,162$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 2,014$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.97 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Under | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 60c | 1,161$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 1,126$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.56 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.09 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…ce68backed Under | 50c | 821.39$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 64c | 776.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 721.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.73 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 42c | 558.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 57c | 456.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…8c93backed Under | 63c | 386.38$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 362.48$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Under | 66c | 302.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 41c | 299.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 32c | 299.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 289.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.86 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 280.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 54c | 256.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 52c | 246.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Under | 59c | 203.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 171.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 126.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 71c | 120.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Under | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 39c | 88.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 56c | 85.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 67c | 75.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Under | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 57.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Under | 58c | 50.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…c3c3backed Under | 58c | 50.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 44.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 46c | 32.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 36c | 31.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…d397backed Over | 35c | 30.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Under | 67c | 29.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.