Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00cdc23eee972e098602297204e5c8978f4be0eeece3c8cd90afee0bda07526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 2,153$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…6ac6backed Over | 77c | 839.85$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 543.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 467.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 20c | 119.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 78c | 94.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 78c | 88.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 78c | 73.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 80c | 46.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 80c | 45.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Over | 80c | 40.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.