Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36383d15abb95c334b0c86ca0cbdf615277addbe4609acfc4ab18b82d12443e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 17c | 1,510$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 583.34$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Under | 78c | 566.42$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 80c | 308.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…306fbacked Under | 80c | 284.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 79c | 197.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 21c | 186.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 66c | 136.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 120.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 17c | 100.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.