Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4279e051b988dab291a6e699fb126ea73f1adae2db72adcf868ee6d2798f721f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,199$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 991.08$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.31 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 68c | 867.13$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.43 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 64c | 594.72$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 474.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 316.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 51c | 285.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Under | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 38c | 211.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 64c | 180$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Over | 63c | 156.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 37c | 117.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Under | 51c | 100.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…a02bbacked Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…1243backed Under | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 65c | 62.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 38c | 56.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 53.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 50c | 50.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 47.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Over | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 32.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 65c | 28.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 68c | 26.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.