Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeef444c523cbfb8532bd092d3924c893a91462ae98b0a9aa76b300f49c440289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 30c | 799.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 66c | 732.25$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.74 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 632.58$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 379.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 371.24$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 326.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 55c | 299.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 42c | 245.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 227.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 65c | 208.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 141.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 68c | 141.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Over | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 45c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.