Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 7,787$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.24 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 2,829$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 2,699$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.52 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 23c | 1,170$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 77c | 1,071$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.33 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Over | 78c | 1,058$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 80c | 1,036$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 24c | 457.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 351.03$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 316.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 285.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 70c | 215$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 77c | 208.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 75c | 208$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 78c | 161.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 78c | 114.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 106.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 25c | 67.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Over | 77c | 64.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 78c | 64.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Under | 26c | 60.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 51.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 75c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 77c | 13.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.