Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549c4a97211a25b26253c9db93c77de3b98a4a66ef4d02600adda6e0f5ca6600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 10,428$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.2 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 4,232$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.96 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 2,935$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.55 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f3…110abacked Under | 75c | 1,964$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 1,030$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 31c | 945.16$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 51c | 900$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 620$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 69c | 572.06$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Over | 32c | 399.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 32c | 299.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 74c | 230.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 73c | 215.14$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 215$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 70c | 145.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 136.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 73c | 133.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 112.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 73c | 84.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Under | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 29c | 64.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 60.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.