Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23088dff136de91533ed17ab39f8707f8cd20755d34b4c84ea6bbad37cff3169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gimcheon Sangmu FCof Ulsan HD FC, Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6326…6329backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 79c | 349.61$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ulsan HD FC | 31c | 311.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Ulsan HD FC | 28c | 239.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ulsan HD FC | 22c | 208.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 79c | 196.7$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Ulsan HD FC | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 72c | 36.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.