Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 13,205$6,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,423.46 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.99 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 3,054$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.18 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 3,025$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.53 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 2,343$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.36 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 51c | 1,398$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 49c | 800$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 40c | 633.51$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.82 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 399.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 52c | 375.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 361.68$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 52c | 325.23$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 226.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 198.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 177.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 63c | 170$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 135.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 130.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 47c | 107.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 54c | 105.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 97.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Under | 48c | 87.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 82.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 52c | 79.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 78.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 53c | 77.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 38c | 62.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 36c | 50.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 52c | 49.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 48.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 52c | 33.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 31.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 49c | 31.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…d8d3backed Under | 48c | 26.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Over | 53c | 26.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Over | 52c | 22.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 53c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 51c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…1537backed Under | 67c | 21.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.