Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf5f0c35e5eaf0bc5d580aa0f925f507e486a36a5fdea7347424a2b835e77cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 77c | 16,134$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.72 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 8,006$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.36 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 6,674$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.69 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 22c | 3,618$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.01 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…3578backed Over | 24c | 2,760$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 2,426$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 23c | 1,808$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.76 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 74c | 1,264$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.83 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Over | 23c | 1,259$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 24c | 402.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 78c | 153$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 78c | 87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 77c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 24c | 52.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…bb98backed Over | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.