Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25154176cfa1737e520e11a1e9e806b95eddc811b4b5ef248dfe0d20ec972bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 431.4$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 50c | 290.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 32c | 132$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 48c | 127.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…bcdfbacked Yes | 50c | 43.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…22b6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…06f1backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 57c | 23.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…014ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.