TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under43c5,770$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.2996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over71c2,200$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c1,737$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.142,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over29c1,451$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over63c799$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7915253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab70…0322backed Over22c452.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Under51c410.04$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over4c400.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Over70c372.17$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c353.12$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over67c299.9$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.934355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over70c286.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ae7…6fe0backed Over60c279.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under53c237.4$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.582445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under58c202$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.881776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over68c197.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under31c189$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfab8…c3b0backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under52c146$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under32c139$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.522568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over57c130.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over69c125.35$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.491872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over69c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under30c119.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.998148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over68c112.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.415550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under67c105.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Under79c102.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.663154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…1550backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c91.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over52c91.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.458439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over66c79.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7711154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under32c77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.362564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…2bacbacked Over68c76.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under32c74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.321353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over69c73.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under32c68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over30c66.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.615448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under32c58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+84.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Over72c56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under37c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.652365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over47c53.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over71c53.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.891566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Over69c50.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30dc…9fa0backed Over60c50.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under32c49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.67445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-56.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over71c39.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Over69c39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under31c38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over38c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Over68c37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over48c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over68c37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de8…f53bbacked Under31c36.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Over69c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8144…eff8backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…9422backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…a3aebacked Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a2…a2d1backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…c890backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f7…4933backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d6c…cd29backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d9…e920backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa596…5870backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a3…fef9backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f9…b8b1backed Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x165c…6c0dbacked Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae58…1a3bbacked Under31c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Over63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-77.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3848…7904backed Under31c34.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9428…4d5bbacked Under31c34.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x069b…095dbacked Under31c34.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf564…38a3backed Under31c34.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1493…630cbacked Under31c34.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7696…e9fcbacked Under31c34.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0439…39d7backed Under31c34.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…d8f4backed Under31c34.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Over68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over48c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Over68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.