Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x826ff45adb4a4ed5d396cdbecaebaed02de57e28e8b83d8c6dfd082aa3af3aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,065$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,113$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 677.61$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 545$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 23c | 402$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 70c | 316.81$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 38c | 299.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 127.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 107.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 21c | 103.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 51c | 98.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 85.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 22c | 83.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 47.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 44c | 44.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 40c | 29.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 52c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.