Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d317a23bb55d8c5b4493b1f879b6b5a2dd929d8920d9c02bf479bd910681fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 305.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 46c | 103.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 29c | 90.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 28c | 89.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 61.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 34.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.