Other European Leagues · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732e18d7e9c1cce33d2c89e9b83620c6246cb2da0ee42e49be19b5944c469260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 74c | 7,079$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 5,343$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 1,506$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 27c | 1,250$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.47 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 19c | 912.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Over | 39c | 667.18$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 59c | 444$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Over | 12c | 306.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 249.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 25c | 223.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 62c | 114$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 59c | 111$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 74c | 103.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 62c | 89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 59c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…918abacked Under | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 40c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…bb98backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 38c | 34.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.