Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0472cb7ccdcd5366403565331f4a95348950540345b4d9bc38cb051f3f2ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 7,681$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.78 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 5,066$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.31 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,985$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.08 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 1,557$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.27 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Over | 63c | 627.38$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 41c | 492.02$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 474.03$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 462.06$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 461.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 323.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 62c | 319.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 62c | 319.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 62c | 319.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 62c | 319.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 63c | 317.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 63c | 317.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 63c | 317.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Over | 64c | 312.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 41c | 297.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 64c | 229.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 64c | 215.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 62c | 162.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 63c | 158.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…cbd6backed Over | 62c | 129.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 62c | 112.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…98c1backed Over | 63c | 79.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Over | 64c | 77.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…3543backed Over | 64c | 62.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 64c | 58.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked Over | 64c | 54.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…e592backed Over | 63c | 46.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed Over | 64c | 46.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 64c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…8a99backed Over | 64c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 29.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 27.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…6a34backed Over | 64c | 16.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.