Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ce2116298093774ca163413fdd418554b82b9e283dfcf4b4a75547b0bacf9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 6,359$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.36 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 5,670$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,378$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 2,733$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.02 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 37c | 2,432$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 75c | 1,871$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.35 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 55c | 1,639$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.2 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 49c | 947.51$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 30c | 833.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 670.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 76c | 554.19$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 40c | 543.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 41c | 371.72$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 56c | 301.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 42c | 293.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 277.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 21c | 246.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…2000backed Over | 54c | 196.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 51c | 196.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 37c | 138.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 41c | 113.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…97c4backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 39c | 98.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 51c | 64.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 42c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 18c | 59.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 52c | 52.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 60c | 49.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 43c | 47.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed Over | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…c02dbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Over | 67c | 39.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 35c | 30.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 57c | 18.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 1.5this page
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Brøndby IF O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.