Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb5d7ff3d1d1ca78c858a7ccdc17185ca48778c2203d1afc0052825e39333b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Over | 58c | 18,768$10,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,906.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 16,059$9,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.23 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 12,852$7,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 9,163$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.22 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 4,426$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.85 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 3,927$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.2 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 55c | 3,032$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.47 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 41c | 2,600$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 54c | 2,589$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.45 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,901$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 837.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.93 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 42c | 748.62$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.41 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 58c | 734.01$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 27c | 599.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 60c | 575.24$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 75c | 466.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 68c | 407.89$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 406.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…fd92backed Under | 74c | 302.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 42c | 281$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Over | 59c | 280.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 43c | 272.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 55c | 260.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 238.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 57c | 210.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 78c | 200.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under | 54c | 150.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 143.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 93.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 31c | 63.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 31c | 63.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 52c | 51.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 41c | 39.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 29.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 65c | 29.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Under | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 49c | 22.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 66c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 65c | 20.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Brøndby IF O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.