Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60db843f63205da73eafcd8c0856f74fdeb7a9f41a62424c69deda8976d1cffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $672,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $672,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 617,005$321,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295,047.41 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 99,011$47,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,525.39 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 56c | 26,958$14,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,997.75 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 25,397$11,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,630.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 7,162$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724.24 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Under | 53c | 4,677$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 4,365$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.25 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 49c | 2,492$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 51c | 2,373$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.47 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 2,355$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 54c | 1,118$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 964$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 46c | 788.43$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.48 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Over | 45c | 669.85$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.61 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 45c | 636.7$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.13 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Over | 45c | 427.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 46c | 406.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 316.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 58c | 235$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 50c | 208.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 46c | 190.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 50c | 75.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…5e78backed Under | 54c | 55.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Over | 46c | 43.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 50c | 37.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Under | 50c | 25.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 50c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 50c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Under | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…85a2backed Under | 50c | 20.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 149.5this page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW SeahawksUNCW Seahawks won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.