TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNCW Seahawksof Campbell Fighting Camels, UNCW Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e29…9e66backed Campbell Fighting Camels34c2,720$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.45520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UNCW Seahawks69c1,637$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.892,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb101…5024backed UNCW Seahawks68c1,455$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.931250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNCW Seahawks67c1,351$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.451,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked UNCW Seahawks70c1,226$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.9212364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed UNCW Seahawks71c1,091$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Campbell Fighting Camels30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Campbell Fighting Camels42c989.98$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed UNCW Seahawks71c398.31$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2738343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Campbell Fighting Camels40c379.33$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.452,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…45bfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels75c357.67$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick69cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels30c325.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.694,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Campbell Fighting Camels25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed UNCW Seahawks39c305.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UNCW Seahawks16c303.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.163,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed UNCW Seahawks56c292.17$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.427965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed UNCW Seahawks21c273.51$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.078342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Campbell Fighting Camels30c254.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.552,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels33c212.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.365,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed UNCW Seahawks37c205.78$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9248051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Campbell Fighting Camels30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Campbell Fighting Camels48c183$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked UNCW Seahawks67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2540252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Campbell Fighting Camels40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed UNCW Seahawks68c72.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4219057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Campbell Fighting Camels40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed UNCW Seahawks54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5653635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNCW Seahawks27c53.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.084,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed UNCW Seahawks57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e2…0cf6backed UNCW Seahawks77c48.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UNCW Seahawks54c44.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.473,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…3f41backed UNCW Seahawks54c40.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.881618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UNCW Seahawks77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc995…3053backed Campbell Fighting Camels51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Campbell Fighting Camels66c33.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.232,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.857335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b6…bc8abacked Campbell Fighting Camels68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed UNCW Seahawks64c24.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.817557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Campbell Fighting Camels78c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.162,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked UNCW Seahawks65c15.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda91…4fefbacked Campbell Fighting Camels79c13.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0187…161cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966.7%6 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.