TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c16,962$8,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,146.332,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c16,635$8,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,967.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c8,081$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.863,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over47c7,221$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.8748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c6,081$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.333,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…0de9backed Under50c5,525$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4006767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe427…a00abacked Under52c4,997$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…0b2ebacked Over49c4,178$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.421637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9202653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01af…38f6backed Under50c3,913$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c3,101$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.462,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532f…6997backed Over50c3,050$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d2…3821backed Under50c3,040$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over47c2,807$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.4365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c2,574$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.222,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12539018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa537…ce68backed Over50c2,450$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e0…e446backed Under50c2,440$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,432$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd508…c612backed Under50c2,410$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xece0…e984backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ca…005abacked Over50c2,138$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…38debacked Over50c2,033$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x258e…eb60backed Under50c1,810$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee6…7a90backed Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…4c72backed Over50c1,506$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf597…bcd4backed Over50c1,426$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Over4c1,300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Over2c1,281$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.589515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe0…3936backed Over50c1,212$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61216633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbaa…788bbacked Over50c1,123$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef66…98c0backed Over48c925$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under53c813.43$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c481$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.81,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Over49c447.15$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under53c444$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6822656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c429.66$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c365$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.052,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under50c347$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.51,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x676b…6af6backed Under52c321$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6913354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66b…7ec7backed Under52c304$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…2df7backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under49c263.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9224846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under74c260.87$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1214255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under65c209.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.241,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303818.4%7 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under48c189.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under55c178.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c166.23$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under45c159.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.661,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6937750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Over49c137.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2110454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Under70c137$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.13461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c3c…0696backed Under56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over38c124.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.753,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c109$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over49c108$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under54c103$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.387648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Under51c89.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.814548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over32c87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.28156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.568852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over29c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7137755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.127448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c71.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.022,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over46c61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.66160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6921637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under55c53.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2547349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under54c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.385152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under51c50.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.811,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.083438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked Under57c45.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3342143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Over46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.483863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over48c36.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2952246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over33c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7510840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Over49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a84…2776backed Over47c30.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.343743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over48c26.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6333653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over49c25.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128235.4%29 W · 53 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x181c…7671backed Over61c18.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.