NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dfdf8a0c95306c4b2491de52de215729e88bbeaaffeeb63e3ecc3d03db25d2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 59,604$31,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,456.98 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 49c | 14,752$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.13 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 13,121$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,166.98 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 5,486$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 4,657$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 3,510$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.22 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 3,242$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.76 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…d82ebacked Under | 51c | 2,893$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 2,240$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 2,228$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 52c | 2,115$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.7 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.59 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Over | 49c | 1,854$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,108$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 51c | 984.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 752.94$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 745.69$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 52c | 744.78$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.78 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 52c | 725.34$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 607.87$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.84 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 55c | 570.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 52c | 535.86$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 52c | 521.75$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.77 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 483.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 50c | 458$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 443$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 48c | 404.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 404.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 266.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 49c | 262$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Over | 50c | 200.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed Over | 50c | 180.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 151.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Under | 54c | 118.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…4eeebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 82.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 79.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 52c | 60.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Under | 51c | 53.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 42.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…268ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Under | 51c | 31.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…b6c7backed Under | 47c | 28.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Over | 49c | 27.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 50c | 27.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 49c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. 76ersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.