NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace26a760417d0a496f1e2e75937326f2c4d595dff106b6d760a734074607343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof 76ers, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed 76ers | 48c | 107,000$51,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,289.98 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 56,490$29,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,115.04 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 51c | 19,405$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,956.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 9,133$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,779$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.87 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,887$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.32 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,711$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,400$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…973dbacked 76ers | 73c | 871.99$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…2e86backed 76ers | 47c | 657.4$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed 76ers | 55c | 654.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed 76ers | 60c | 505$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 48c | 444.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked 76ers | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed 76ers | 37c | 327.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 48c | 325.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Cavaliers | 56c | 269.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed 76ers | 46c | 230.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 215.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cavaliers | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Cavaliers | 59c | 203.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Cavaliers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked 76ers | 50c | 159.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 158.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked 76ers | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 41c | 135.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Cavaliers | 62c | 130.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Cavaliers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Cavaliers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Cavaliers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed 76ers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Cavaliers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 54.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 49c | 53.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Cavaliers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers | 51c | 52.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 47.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…a479backed Cavaliers | 56c | 45.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed 76ers | 51c | 44.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…b665backed Cavaliers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…d47abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked 76ers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Cavaliers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)this page
- Cavaliers vs. 76ersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.