NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2316ff26f1a829862fda60fdf01140bddda835b033c680f9398bd5c35889b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 53c | 7,079$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.86 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 7,043$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 52c | 2,570$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 2,357$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 53c | 2,323$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.01 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 252.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 210$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Over | 52c | 129.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 123.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 83.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Over | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 61.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 50.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 49c | 41.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. 76ersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.