TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bda…0b2ebacked Over48c19,860$9,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,469.791637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c19,040$10,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,026.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under54c10,850$5,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.8138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c7,750$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.173,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over46c6,621$3,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.8124744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c5,896$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.661,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f50…5873backed Over48c5,793$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc013…b51dbacked Over48c5,641$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb7…8267backed Over48c5,522$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c4,550$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c4,381$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689f…ce9bbacked Under52c4,200$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under54c3,900$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.5150347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe513…9e9dbacked Over48c3,763$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf295…4761backed Over48c3,553$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…d3a8backed Over48c3,369$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed3…5426backed Over48c2,773$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d6…656dbacked Over48c2,650$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.7940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc4…7873backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe5…de9fbacked Over48c2,400$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c2,147$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.092,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x156e…6481backed Under52c2,033$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa722…9a51backed Under52c2,020$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x309e…43aabacked Under52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd700…72a4backed Under52c1,985$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c1,967$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.834,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…1747backed Under52c1,855$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3b…65a5backed Under52c1,800$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb300…7ca8backed Over48c1,772$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d02…4eebbacked Under52c1,616$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x319f…5432backed Under52c1,606$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb88…7289backed Under52c1,589$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ab…041fbacked Under52c1,563$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d51…f592backed Under52c1,475$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…700abacked Under52c1,385$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d0…7b41backed Over48c1,374$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb49a…2d96backed Over48c1,367$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7d…afb3backed Under52c1,364$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…4421backed Over48c1,356$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e8…4d2cbacked Under52c1,354$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9cb…9817backed Over48c1,342$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea17…a55dbacked Under52c1,336$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3830…8fd9backed Under52c1,333$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2de…e005backed Under52c1,288$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…162fbacked Under52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee73…c22bbacked Under52c1,221$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb21b…8ce5backed Under52c1,171$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+67.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x880f…d5d4backed Under52c1,159$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e5…0c26backed Under52c1,145$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c1,041$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.722,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa872…d980backed Under52c1,015$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4058…5496backed Under52c1,012$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdff…9e46backed Under52c1,010$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e3…29b1backed Under52c993$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ceb…d8a6backed Under52c992$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71e7…1d8bbacked Under52c909$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb647…181fbacked Under52c850$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb26…bb0bbacked Under52c663$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over45c555.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.951,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c55…137abacked Over48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26450%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fc8…5100backed Under52c522$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over45c497.53$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c482.93$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.472,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c473$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c372.52$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.52,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Under53c269.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.144548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…dffbbacked Under53c236.95$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.371145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c185.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.232,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over43c181.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0927051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over46c153.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3866143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over48c126.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.291,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over46c119.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.683,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over43c118.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Under54c117.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.764040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over46c112.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under56c111.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9224363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Over56c101.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4555533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over46c95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.716036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under56c88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.724560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under52c83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under56c78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.323043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under51c74.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.539557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under56c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.684957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c71.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.672,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under58c69.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1910840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Over44c67.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.847948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.931,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over49c46.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c42.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Under49c39.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3b…6685backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.