TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof 76ers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers53c7,273$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.613,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers47c7,093$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers54c6,057$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.362,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb79f…3d7fbacked Cavaliers48c5,253$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers46c5,225$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474e…d3b9backed 76ers52c5,207$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc919…c851backed Cavaliers48c4,689$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…6706backed Cavaliers48c4,495$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf717…d4b6backed Cavaliers48c3,337$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bd…4c3dbacked 76ers52c3,293$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a2…c8f0backed 76ers52c3,057$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e22…d265backed 76ers52c3,045$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b8f…be25backed Cavaliers48c2,905$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers47c2,760$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.973,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1f…ab7bbacked 76ers52c2,252$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers53c2,232$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675b…c9d7backed 76ers52c2,142$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b74…8f43backed 76ers52c2,133$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…3c91backed 76ers52c2,126$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176a…41f1backed 76ers52c2,008$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8606…831cbacked 76ers52c1,989$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.28650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d5…ea45backed 76ers52c1,900$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ec…5045backed Cavaliers48c1,890$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b43…2bcebacked 76ers52c1,787$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…fc35backed Cavaliers48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…5e91backed 76ers52c1,590$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…d5c7backed Cavaliers48c1,259$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf028…2336backed Cavaliers48c1,191$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d80…3996backed Cavaliers48c1,190$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ac…5afabacked Cavaliers48c1,124$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea37…10e8backed 76ers52c1,035$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa52d…ada2backed Cavaliers48c1,028$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e76…db38backed Cavaliers48c1,019$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca8…0005backed Cavaliers48c905$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa885…aa15backed Cavaliers48c855$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb62…f244backed 76ers52c850$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6224…4cb6backed Cavaliers48c836$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1500…b1b2backed Cavaliers48c833$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x897d…4753backed 76ers52c820$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17b5…cb54backed Cavaliers48c815$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers54c715$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.331,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed 76ers53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Cavaliers49c408.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers46c382.15$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cavaliers46c298.17$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0143543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed 76ers49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5132346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked 76ers54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.48050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Cavaliers18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1649515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Cavaliers14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1728511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed 76ers54c157$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.787441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers42c145$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.13,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed 76ers56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers16c141.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.411,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked 76ers55c121$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.559258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34e8…cff9backed Cavaliers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers52c95.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers47c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Cavaliers44c86.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed 76ers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked 76ers55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed 76ers47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.442864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers56c51.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.882,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d3…420ebacked Cavaliers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Cavaliers45c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.953565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Cavaliers43c46.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0316942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Cavaliers46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers53c43.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Cavaliers45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Cavaliers49c40.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.473339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Cavaliers46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.624645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed 76ers54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed 76ers53c30.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0720838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed 76ers62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Cavaliers45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Cavaliers45c28.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4939736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Cavaliers46c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.583237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers58c26.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.052,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Cavaliers46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed 76ers58c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Cavaliers46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.424755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x364c…2e92backed 76ers56c21.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.834158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.