Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77017d434d404da4e43e278d6f5eb84d708aeb8186e9fc4629aed4a68fa0bdee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona State Sun Devilsof Cincinnati Bearcats, Arizona State Sun Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 0c | 11,600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 74c | 7,349$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 3,572$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 12c | 3,506$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.92 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 25c | 2,900$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 2,572$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.48 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 15c | 2,161$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.62 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 1,877$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.35 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 1,684$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.6 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 1,526$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.98 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 1,312$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.2 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 69c | 1,097$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…376dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 994$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…ab8fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 852$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 850$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 15c | 732.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 67c | 723.66$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.72 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 31c | 716.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 710.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.16 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 29c | 686.15$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 34c | 672$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 20c | 666.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…155dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 505$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…b515backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 489$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 462$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 59c | 440.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…7d09backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 431$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 421$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…faf4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 63c | 395.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…0c3ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 388$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 322$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 34c | 301.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 62c | 265$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 69c | 263.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 19c | 257.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 44c | 232.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 5c | 219.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 215.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 64c | 196.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 46c | 196$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 181.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 41c | 167$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 15c | 160.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 143.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 28c | 122.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…0a08backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 78c | 121.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 31c | 113.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 107$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 104.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 44c | 102.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 41c | 71.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 69.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 58.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 28c | 42.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 39.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 69c | 39.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 47c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aed…2c9dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 42c | 31.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 43c | 27.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 46c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsthis page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 148.5Over won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-2.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.