TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c6,696$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f2…b9f7backed Under51c5,369$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a24…0585backed Under52c3,327$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e91…d686backed Over48c3,180$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0446…b589backed Over48c3,080$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0321…a09fbacked Over49c2,857$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d4a…f29dbacked Under52c2,848$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b6…a445backed Over48c2,832$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38d…a6e3backed Over48c2,823$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…0be9backed Under52c2,799$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.48650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549a…704bbacked Over49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f7c…4f1dbacked Under52c2,435$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…08c1backed Over48c2,251$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f37…23cebacked Under52c2,154$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd7…ed94backed Under52c2,113$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9504…0321backed Under52c2,066$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…727bbacked Over48c2,021$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c67…e84dbacked Over48c2,013$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eff…db0fbacked Under52c2,010$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f93…c1c3backed Under52c2,008$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ae…b9f8backed Over48c1,998$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Under40c1,997$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.893452.9%18 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2854…b644backed Under52c1,945$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb329…0459backed Over48c1,908$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…9a72backed Over48c1,895$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb2…4db8backed Under52c1,771$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc9…6523backed Over48c1,758$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5750…a2dbbacked Over48c1,756$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e5…a00abacked Under52c1,722$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf616…575fbacked Under52c1,696$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe696…03f1backed Under52c1,666$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3b…444cbacked Over48c1,662$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38db…2aa3backed Under52c1,588$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34b4…89aabacked Over48c1,564$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7539…54f0backed Over48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0718…274abacked Over48c1,502$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over77c1,405$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.232,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under53c1,312$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.861,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under69c1,300$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c1,282$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.613,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea11…551abacked Over46c1,254$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f2c…49a2backed Under54c1,254$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c1,239$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef6…9e33backed Under52c1,056$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a6c…08c3backed Over48c1,044$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd006…6449backed Under52c1,023$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Under6c1,000$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20405%2 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c982$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.13,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c973.23$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.142,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39ac…5e29backed Over48c963$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91af…9930backed Under52c954$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7110…0372backed Under52c943$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe514…3118backed Over48c942$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd58…28b7backed Under52c934$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ec…4ddabacked Over48c905$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c875$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Over45c817.78$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.7829037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Under6c700$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over47c638.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under9c635$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c550.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over76c543.22$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c473.66$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.042,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over46c406.63$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5824138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21216053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c379$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under5c350$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c309$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.92,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under69c233.32$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6331144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10665649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over46c191.21$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2523250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over48c129.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over47c119.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153818.4%7 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.756540%26 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under63c71.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under44c71.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4327144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Under55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.259458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Under53c51.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2813646.3%63 W · 73 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.139736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under52c44.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3718339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d0…10a0backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c1…a2d1backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.681,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c32.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.672,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0571245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.