NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3220e5d972780ebe04855ee4d2a1a22fef7b9bd952206cc7792d5e2e3028779b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Over | 51c | 39,385$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,385.21 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 19,985$9,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,546.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 53c | 14,171$7,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 7,040$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 51c | 3,419$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.36 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 1,348$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.14 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,097$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.91 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 58c | 300.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Over | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 29c | 269$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 30c | 186.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 53c | 185.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 143.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 47c | 119.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 76c | 116.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Over | 48c | 105.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 39c | 100.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 95.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 11c | 92.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 45c | 61.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…cf5abacked Over | 34c | 51.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…befdbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…772abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Under | 79c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 34.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 33.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 57c | 24.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 49c | 21.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…7c67backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. 76ersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.