NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcccf4972b915c131d39a3bcb49d71957f7ecf807d2172a1a20516e4319f2cf37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,077$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…a00abacked Under | 56c | 3,024$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5750…a2dbbacked Under | 56c | 2,376$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 1,868$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 59c | 1,456$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.79 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 1,397$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 77c | 1,306$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf616…575fbacked Over | 44c | 1,080$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…03f1backed Over | 44c | 1,008$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…2aa3backed Over | 44c | 936$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7539…54f0backed Over | 44c | 864$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…6523backed Over | 44c | 792$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 736.97$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 40c | 736.43$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.05 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…444cbacked Over | 44c | 720$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Under | 73c | 310.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 284.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 42c | 240.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…f49bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 56c | 165.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 43c | 158.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 56c | 82.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243d…c2ecbacked Over | 19c | 59.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Under | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 41c | 46.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 39c | 34.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 62c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 42c | 29.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 53c | 27.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 39c | 25.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Under | 59c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. 76ersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.