NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42fd5ee2612eef4e79b5d0573c9f02b80435c1e2afe17932f4e42124c15f43b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof 76ers, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked 76ers | 48c | 18,514$8,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,961.54 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 7,919$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers | 49c | 7,763$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,740$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…3483backed 76ers | 48c | 5,760$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1af…ec42backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,520$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…7a18backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,100$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…434ebacked 76ers | 48c | 4,920$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…1bbabacked 76ers | 48c | 4,892$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7e…a24abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,450$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked 76ers | 48c | 4,191$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…240fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,180$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,449$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,340$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.2 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…1fdfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,212$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…9da0backed 76ers | 48c | 3,110$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed 76ers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,970$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.75 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…96d4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,942$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…32a7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,525$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…274abacked 76ers | 48c | 2,410$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…9e33backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,366$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eff…db0fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,365$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…245fbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…4a26backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,324$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…89aabacked 76ers | 48c | 2,321$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e6…7e59backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 58c | 2,296$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…6086backed 76ers | 48c | 2,285$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…c91dbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,255$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09dc…567bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,247$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,244$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.12 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…0b86backed 76ers | 48c | 2,147$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…aacfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,142$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…ff84backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,141$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…5609backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,121$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…e3dabacked 76ers | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed 76ers | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab73…293ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…92c1backed 76ers | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde83…82f8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,003$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…be84backed 76ers | 48c | 2,002$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…860cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…686cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…93a3backed 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…60bcbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1246backed 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…982dbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…da08backed 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…6bdcbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…74c2backed 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…c94fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…02e2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf0…01b5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,999$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…93c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,989$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…c5adbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,974$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed 76ers | 47c | 1,970$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.9 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35a…3017backed 76ers | 48c | 1,949$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,893$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.77 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…d44bbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,885$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…96c8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,879$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…8aeabacked 76ers | 48c | 1,814$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,799$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.6 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,787$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.67 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39db…d185backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,774$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,740$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…bbe0backed 76ers | 48c | 1,727$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…18febacked 76ers | 48c | 1,698$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…1d5ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,663$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…d6d7backed 76ers | 48c | 1,653$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…7e52backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,575$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…5a60backed 76ers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…1547backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,453$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…6818backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,360$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…623ebacked 76ers | 48c | 1,287$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,201$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.37 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…63e5backed 76ers | 48c | 1,198$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ba…520ebacked 76ers | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…12e6backed 76ers | 48c | 1,123$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6913…2a4cbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,121$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,108$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.05 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…a445backed 76ers | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90c…5c2fbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6c…08c3backed 76ers | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,044$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.05 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…6449backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,033$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd1…a538backed 76ers | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…6c20backed 76ers | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…4f1dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 987$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…28b7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 986$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…0585backed Cavaliers | 52c | 985$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…0be9backed Cavaliers | 52c | 982$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)this page
- Cavaliers vs. 76ersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.